User guide.

A DIVERGE market asks one question about two tokenized stocks: over a fixed window, will their returns move together at least as much as the strike says? Every market has two sides.

• SYNC wins if the realized correlation ρ is at or above the strike. You are saying the pair keeps moving together.
• BREAK wins if ρ ends below the strike. You are saying the pair decouples.

Markets are parimutuel. There is no order book and no counterparty to match. Everyone on the winning side splits the losing pool in proportion to their stake, minus a protocol fee. Prices of the two stocks do not matter on their own; only how their returns relate.

Each market moves through five phases. The pill on every card tells you which one it is in.

You need three things. None of them come from DIVERGE.

The interface is non-custodial. It never holds funds. Every action you take is a transaction you sign in your own wallet and that runs in the public DIVERGE contract. Nothing can be reversed after it confirms.

The Connect button sits at the top right of every page. Press it and approve the connection request in your wallet. Once connected the button becomes your address; press it again to disconnect.

diverge · any page

Not connected

DIVERGE

MarketsHowDocsConnect1

Connected · wallet on another network

DIVERGE

MarketsHowDocsSwitch to Robinhood20x3C38…B6793

1. 1Connect. Opens your wallet's connection prompt. If you have no wallet installed it opens the MetaMask download page instead.
2. 2Switch to Robinhood. Appears when your wallet is on another network. Pressing it asks the wallet to switch, adding Robinhood Chain first if it has never seen it.
3. 3Your address. Shortened. Press to disconnect. The interface remembers the connection and silently reconnects on your next visit.

You can browse every market without connecting. A wallet is only needed to stake or claim, and the stake panel will prompt you to connect at that point.

Markets lists every market the contract knows about. The map at the top shows the same markets as a graph: each stock is a node, each market an edge, and the number on the edge is the correlation realized so far.

diverge / markets

DIVERGE / MARKETS

MarketsHowDocsConnect

Diverge / Markets

Pick a relationship.

Active markets

4

Staked · USDG

88.2K

Market topology

edge = running ρ

1

Filter

allopenlivesettled2

NVDA × AMD

open · locks 1D 9H

CORR

strike

+0.50

SYNC

67%

BREAK

33%

7Dρ ≥ 0.5027,570 USDG

3

1. 1Topology. Edges thicken with |ρ|. Solid orange means the running correlation is known; dashed means the market has not collected enough samples yet. Click an edge to open that market.
2. 2Filter. open shows markets still accepting stakes, live markets in or just past their window, settled markets you may be able to claim from.
3. 3Market card. One per market. Click anywhere on it to open the market page.

Each card carries everything you need to decide whether to look closer.

The market page puts the statistics on the left and the stake panel on the right. The stake panel stays in view as you scroll.

diverge / markets / 0

DIVERGE / MARKETS

MarketsHowDocs0x3C38…B679

← Markets

live · 4D 18H7D CORRSEP 08 → SEP 151

NVDA × AMD

Nvidia · Advanced Micro Devices

Running ρ

+0.78

14 return pairs · leaning SYNC

2

Strike

+0.50

SYNC if ρ ≥ 0.50

3

SYNC

67% · 18,420

BREAK

33% · 9,150

27,570 USDG staked

4

Observations

5

6

Rules

7

Take a side

SYNCρ ≥ 0.50BREAKρ < 0.50

Amount · USDGbal 2,340.00

500

251005002500

Implied payout

1.47×

If you win

736.97 USDG

Locks in

Sep 10, 2026, 14:00

Approve 500 USDG

8

1. 1Phase, window, dates. Length of the observation window and its start and end dates.
2. 2Running ρ. Correlation of the return pairs recorded so far, and which side it currently favours. Shows dots until at least two return pairs exist.
3. 3Strike. The threshold. SYNC needs ρ at or above it.
4. 4Pools. Amounts on each side. These set your payout multiple.
5. 5Observations. The chart and table of every recorded sample. See While it is live.
6. 6Legs. Live Chainlink price and feed address for each stock.
7. 7Rules. Lock time, window, sampling interval, minimum samples, fee and contract link.
8. 8Stake panel. Where you take a side. See Stake.

Everything on this page is read straight from the chain and refreshes on its own. The legs show the current Chainlink price for reference only; settlement uses the samples in the observations table, not the live quote.

Staking is open until the lock time. After that the panel greys out and shows the running numbers only.

A stake is two transactions the first time, one afterwards.

1. Approve. Lets the DIVERGE contract pull the amount you typed from your USDG balance. The interface approves exactly that amount, so a larger stake later will ask again.
2. Stake. Moves the USDG into the pool for your side. Confirm in your wallet.
3. Pending. The button shows the transaction hash while the chain confirms it. The trail underneath tracks Sign, Broadcast and Staked.
4. Confirmed. The button turns dark, your position appears under the panel, and the pools update. The Blockscout link opens the transaction.

If a transaction fails the button shakes and reads Failed · tap to retry, with the reason underneath. Tapping resets the panel; nothing has left your wallet unless the trail reached Broadcast.

The payout preview assumes a two percent fee on the losing pool. With pools of 18,420 SYNC and 9,150 BREAK, a 500 USDG stake on SYNC previews like this:

winning pool  = 18,420 + 500        = 18,920
losing pool   = 9,150
fee           = 9,150 × 2%          = 183
payout        = 500 × (18,920 + 9,150 − 183) / 18,920
              = 736.97 USDG   (1.47×)

Once the market locks, the observation window opens. At each interval, usually every six hours, a sample is written onchain with the Chainlink price of both stocks. The contract turns consecutive samples into return pairs and recomputes the correlation.

Some things to know about samples:

• Recording a sample is permissionless. A keeper does it on schedule, but anyone can call observe() on the contract. If nobody does during an interval, that sample is simply missed.
• Chainlink feeds for these stocks only update on a half percent move or once a day, so returns look step-like. That is expected.
• A sample is rejected if the feed answer is stale or not positive. Rejected samples are not counted.
• The running ρ can swing a lot early on. It settles down as pairs accumulate.

After the window ends, anyone can call settle. The keeper normally does it within minutes. The contract computes the Pearson correlation of the sampled returns in fixed point, compares it to the strike, and records the winner. The result is final.

Payouts are not pushed to you. Open the market and press Claim. One claim per market covers everything you staked there, on either side.

Your payout is your stake plus your share of the losing pool after the fee. If nobody staked the winning side, everyone is refunded in full and no fee is taken.

SYNC pool 12,000 · BREAK pool 6,400 · fee 2% · you staked 500 on SYNC
fee     = 6,400 × 2%                  = 128
payout  = 500 × (12,000 + 6,400 − 128) / 12,000
        = 761.33 USDG

A market voids instead of settling when the result would not be meaningful:

• Fewer return pairs were recorded than the market's minimum, shown under Rules.
• One leg did not move at all across the window, so correlation is undefined.
• The protocol administrator voided it.

A void market has no winner. Everyone claims back exactly what they staked, on both sides, with no fee. The claim works the same way as a settled market.

Until a contract address is configured, the interface runs in preview. You will see a preview pill in the header and a banner on the markets page. Markets, pools and observations are samples; the prices on the map and the legs are still live from Chainlink.

diverge / markets · preview mode

DIVERGE / MARKETS

MarketsHowpreviewConnect1

previewContract not deployed yet. Markets below are samples. Quotes on the map are live Chainlink prices.2

Preview · contract not deployed3

1. 1Header pill. Present on every page while no contract is configured.
2. 2Banner. Reminds you the markets are samples.
3. 3Stake button. Disabled. Nothing can be staked in preview.

When in doubt, the chain is the source of truth. Every market page links its contract and every transaction links to Blockscout.