DIVERGE

diverge

Trade relationships,
not prices.

Open marketsHow it settles

Onchain markets
for asset relationships.

Deterministic.
Settled onchain.

Diverge / 01

A new kind of
derivative.

Every derivative pays out on a number nobody knows yet. For options and perps that number is a price. For DIVERGE it is a relationship.

A DIVERGE market is a derivative on a statistic: the realized correlation between two tokenized stocks over a fixed window. Volatility, beta and dispersion follow. You never take a view on where either stock goes. You take a view on how they move relative to each other.

The contract samples both Chainlink feeds on a schedule, computes the statistic at expiry and pays the side that called it. No one reports the result. The math is the settlement.

Underlying

Not a price. The realized correlation of two tokenized stocks' returns over a set window, sampled from Chainlink feeds.

Payoff

Two-sided parimutuel. Stake SYNC or BREAK against a strike in USDG. Winners split the losing pool pro rata, minus the fee.

Settlement

Pure math over samples already onchain. No reporter, no committee, no dispute window. Same inputs, same result, every time.

Perps
direction of a price
Options
price against a strike, over time
Prediction markets
whether an event happens
Diverge
how two prices move together

A derivative on a relationship,
not on a price.

Correlation first.
Vol, beta, dispersion next.

Diverge / 02

Other markets ask
up or down?

Perps, options and prediction markets all price direction. DIVERGE prices whether two assets move together.

DIVERGE is an onchain market for correlation, volatility, beta and dispersion between tokenized stocks. You stake on how two assets behave relative to each other.

  • Will NVDA and AMD keep moving together?
  • Will TSLA become more volatile than expected?
  • Will AAPL decouple from QQQ?
  • Will the Magnificent 7 stop trading as one?

Diverge / 03

Pick a
relationship.

See how assets move together,
then take a side.

NVDA × AMD
CORR

How closely they move.

7D
TSLA
VOL

How volatile it's been.

7Dsoon
AAPL × QQQ
BETA

How sensitive to the market.

7Dsoon
MAG7
DISP

How much they break apart.

24Hsoon

Market grid / pair selector

One contract.
Four relationships.

Diverge / 04

How a market settles.

Four steps from open price to payout.

  1. 1

    Observe
    open prices

    Capture prices for each leg from its Chainlink feed onchain. No offchain data enters.

  2. 2

    Sample
    returns

    Anyone can call observe() once per interval across the window. The contract rejects stale answers.

  3. 3

    Compute
    realized relationship

    At expiry settle() computes the Pearson correlation (ρ) of the sampled returns in fixed point.

  4. 4

    Settle
    on-chain

    Compare ρ to the strike. Winners split the losing pool pro rata, minus the fee.

Example

NVDA × AMD

NvidiaAdvanced Micro Devices

Realized corr

ρ=
Cov(rNVDA, rAMD)
σNVDA · σAMD

Computed from samples in the settlement window.

Outcome

Sync wins

If ρ ≥ strike

or

Break wins

If ρ < strike

Correlation, computed
and settled onchain.

Too few samples or zero variance voids the market · all stakes refunded

Diverge / 05

Why it works
here.

Tokenized stocks

NVDA, AMD, TSLA, AAPL, QQQ and more as ERC-20s, 24/5.

Chainlink feeds

Per-asset AggregatorV3 price feeds with the corporate-action multiplier baked in.

EVM · Arbitrum Orbit

Composable settlement in USDG. Each observation and payout is a transaction you can inspect.

Ready?

Pick a relationship.
Take a side.

Open markets

Onchain markets
for asset relationships.

Deterministic.
Settled onchain.